It is difficult to say definitively what the odds are of Donald Trump becoming president again and then being convicted of one or more of the 91 indictments he faces. There are many factors that could affect the outcome of both the election and any potential criminal proceedings.
Trump's chances of winning the 2024 election
A recent poll by the University of Wisconsin-Madison found that Trump is the leading candidate for the Republican nomination in 2024, with 53% of Republican voters saying they would support him. However, he is also a polarizing figure, and many Americans have said they would never vote for him. A recent poll by ABC News/Washington Post found that 57% of Americans have an unfavorable view of Trump.
If Trump were to win the Republican nomination, he would face a formidable opponent in the general election. The Democratic nominee is likely to be either President Joe Biden or Vice President Kamala Harris, both of whom have high approval ratings among Democrats. It is also possible that a third-party candidate could enter the race, which could further complicate the dynamics of the election.
The likelihood of Trump being convicted of a crime
Trump is facing a number of criminal investigations, including one by the Manhattan District Attorney's Office into his business practices. He is also facing a civil lawsuit by the New York Attorney General's Office alleging that he and his family committed fraud.
If Trump were to be indicted on criminal charges, he would be presumed innocent until proven guilty. However, an indictment would be a major blow to his reputation and could make it difficult for him to win the election.
It is also possible that Trump could be pardoned by the president, either before or after he is convicted of a crime. Trump himself has suggested that he would pardon himself if he were indicted. However, it is unclear whether he has the legal authority to do so.
Conclusion
The odds of Donald Trump becoming president again and then being convicted of one or more of the 91 indictments he faces are difficult to predict. There are many factors that could affect the outcome of both the election and any potential criminal proceedings. However, it is clear that Trump is a polarizing figure who faces significant legal challenges.
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